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Markets edge down as Walmart weighs on index

Wall Street extends losses with Walmart's profit miss and fading rate relief expectations shaking the market.

August 21, 2025 at 05:45 PM
blur Walmart helps pull Wall Street to its 5th straight loss

Stocks slip as Walmart misses earnings and expectations for rate relief fade.

Walmart drives Wall Street to fifth straight loss

The S&P 500 fell 0.4 percent, the Dow slipped 0.3 percent and the Nasdaq declined 0.3 percent on Thursday as Walmart dropped 4.5 percent after a spring profit miss. Nvidia and other large tech names held steadier after a period of sharp swings, while Treasuries pushed yields higher on a data reading that tempered hopes for immediate monetary help. A separate S&P Global report showed a pickup in U.S. business activity but also highlighted faster price gains driven by tariffs, a sign that inflation pressures may persist.

Key Takeaways

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Walmart’s earnings miss weighed on sentiment across indices
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Investors still price in a September Fed rate cut odds near 75%
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Bond yields rose on inflation concerns tied to tariffs
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Big Tech remains volatile but less dramatic than earlier in the week
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Tariffs continue to influence pricing power and inflation signals
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Jackson Hole could steer near-term policy expectations
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Market breadth is uneven as growth points out and inflation pressures persist

"No one expects a rate hike to happen, but the overwhelming expectation on Wall Street has been for coming cuts."

Policy direction expectation

"Traders are betting on a nearly three-in-four chance that the Fed will lower its main interest rate at its next meeting in September."

Market pricing on Fed move

"A cut in interest rates would be the first of the year."

Policy timing

"it would give investment prices and the economy a boost by potentially making it cheaper to borrow"

Impact of rate cut on borrowing

The market is navigating a patchwork of signals: solid company results in some sectors and stubborn inflation risks tied to tariffs. Walmart’s slide underscores how a single retailer can drag sentiment when profits miss estimates, even as broader tech momentum offers some counterbalance. Investors are watching policy expectations closely, with rate cut bets still alive even as data complicates the ideal timing. The Jackson Hole gathering looms as a potential catalyst, but the path for policy remains uncertain amid inflation concerns and tariff headwinds.

Highlights

  • Traders are betting on a nearly three in four chance of a September rate cut
  • No one expects a rate hike to happen
  • A cut in interest rates would be the first of the year
  • it would give investment prices and the economy a boost by potentially making it cheaper to borrow

Policy and tariff risk to markets

The article links market moves to policy expectations and tariffs, creating potential budget, political and investor sentiment risks. Public reaction and controversy around tariffs and rate decisions could magnify volatility.

Markets evolve, and the next move could hinge on policy signals more than earnings noise.

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