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Four Quarterbacks to Avoid in 2025 Fantasy Football
A look at four quarterbacks who may disappoint at their ADP in 2025 fantasy drafts.

A critical look at four quarterbacks who may underperform relative to ADP in 2025 fantasy drafts.
Four Quarterbacks to Avoid in 2025 Fantasy Football
With the 2025 NFL season approaching and fantasy drafts on the horizon, this piece flags players who could disappoint at their current ADP. Sam Darnold signed a three-year, 100.5 million deal with the Seattle Seahawks after a strong 2024 campaign with the Minnesota Vikings, when he posted 4,319 passing yards and 35 touchdowns. In Seattle, a different setup awaits: a defensive minded head coach, a run game led by Kenneth Walker and Zach Charbonnet, and a receiving corps that includes Jaxon Smith-Njigba and an aging Cooper Kupp. The shift in system and surrounding talent could limit his upside, making last season’s numbers unlikely to return.
The Colts are weighing Anthony Richardson against Daniel Jones as their starting quarterback. Richardson brings rushing upside but has shown a limited passing floor, completing 47.7% of passes for 1,814 yards, eight touchdowns and 12 interceptions across 11 games, with a preseason pinky dislocation adding to durability concerns. Jones also offers rushing potential but is a less efficient passer, posting 63.3% completion for 2,070 yards, eight touchdowns and seven interceptions over 341 attempts last season. Neither projection seems poised to move the fantasy needle in a meaningful way. Trevor Lawrence has potential, yet questions linger about the run game and the line. Lawrence improved but operated as QB22 on a 16.8 fantasy points per game average from Weeks 1 to 17 after 10 games before a non throwing shoulder injury, leaving fans wary until he proves the offense can sustain consistency.
Key Takeaways
"Darnold may be talented but the Seattle setup is a different beast"
editorial note on risk of projection in a new system
"Lawrence has talent around him but the lack of a dominant run game could cap his fantasy ceiling"
analysis of Jacksonville’s supporting cast
"Richardson's rookie season exposed the gap between rushing potential and passing consistency"
highlighting durability and accuracy concerns
"Daniel Jones has flashes but his fantasy floor remains fragile"
comment on Jones as an option for drafts
The broader lesson here is simple: fantasy success depends on more than a quarterback’s raw talent. The surrounding system, including the run game, the offensive line and the coaching philosophy, often dictates a player’s ceiling. Darnold’s move to Seattle underscores how a new scheme can inflate expectations or deflate them, depending on how well the pieces fit. Richardson and Jones illustrate how high upside can coexist with a fragile floor when accuracy and durability lag behind athleticism. Lawrence shows promise but also serves as a reminder that even top prospects need reliable support to translate college or early NFL flashes into steady fantasy points. Managers would be wise to weigh floor and ceiling together and not chase headlines when setting drafts.
Highlights
- Upside fades fast when the supporting cast changes
- Talent helps, but volume wins fantasy games
- Rookie uncertainty is the loudest sound on draft night
- A better line means a better fantasy day
Fantasy drafts reward disciplined risk management more than boom bust gambles.
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