NFC North Fantasy Draft Values Busts Sleepers 2025

A careful look at the NFC North picks most likely to pay off, along with busts and sleepers for 2025 fantasy drafts.

NFC North Fantasy Draft Values Busts Sleepers 2025

The NFC North offers a mix of proven veterans and rising targets for 2025 fantasy drafts. D’Andre Swift is listed as the Bears lead back with an ADP around 56.8, RB21, as Chicago rebuilt the line with Joe Thuney and Jonah Jackson and added other pieces. Mason is the other back in Minnesota with ADP 119.2, RB39, and could push for lead duties if injuries or shifts open the door. In Chicago, DJ Moore is the Bears top weapon, but his ADP 48.6 WR20 faces new competition from rookies and a run heavy offense that could limit passing volume. Goff in Detroit is at ADP 103.8 QB10 after a standout 2024, but his touchdown rate may not repeat in a rebuilt Lions offense with a changed coaching staff. Kraft in Green Bay is a sleeper TE with ADP 115.8 TE12, showing scoring upside, and J.J. McCarthy in Minnesota carries upside as a late-round QB 19 with strong supporting cast.

These values depend on touches, line health and coaching changes. Swift could benefit most from Chicago's improved line, while Mason is a high-upside stash if Jones misses time. Moore's value is riskier with rookies rising in CHI and a potential shift toward a run-first game plan. Goff's TD regression risk plus a rebuilt O-line could cap his ceiling. Kraft offers a realistic path to TE1 status if his targets rise, and McCarthy's rookie status adds risk but also a path to a breakout season with wide weapons.

The numbers tell a story of opportunity and risk. Upgrades to the Bears’ line could lift Swift into the early rounds, turning a steady contributor into a league-winner if health holds. Mason’s upside rests on a volatile path—co-starter now, potential lead back by midseason if injury and usage align. Moore remains a thorny value pick; talent exists, but rookies and the shift to a more run-focused attack could cap his ceiling. Goff’s sharp 2024 season comes with a caveat: touchdowns are a rate stat that can drift when play-calling and protection change. Kraft represents a classic sleeper bet: a productive, underused pass catcher who could become a focal point if targets rise. McCarthy’s flash in limited action hints at long-term upside, yet his rookie status makes him a high-variance play behind a retooled line. In short, it pays to blend solid floor players with a few high-upside bets who can swing a draft from decent to decisive.

Highlights

As training camps open, the real test will be which of these values survive the summer grind.