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Fantasy Draft Landmines Identified

Analysts flag six players to avoid in the 2025 fantasy season due to changing roles and uncertain usage.

August 8, 2025 at 11:26 AM
blur 6 Draft Landmines Experts Avoid (2025 Fantasy Football)

Analysts flag six players to avoid in the 2025 fantasy drafts due to changing roles and uncertain updates.

Fantasy Football Draft Landmines in 2025

Analysts identify six players to avoid in the 2025 fantasy drafts, citing changes in offenses, coaching and rosters. Baker Mayfield is flagged as overvalued after a career year in 2024, with a new coordinator and a high ADP that may not hold. The Jets backfield raises red flags as coaches describe using multiple running backs, which could limit any single player’s upside. Zay Flowers is labeled a risky WR2 due to a crowded Ravens passing game and uncertain red zone roles with new additions in the receiving corps. DJ Moore in Chicago is another boom bust case, showing strong volume but questions about efficiency and target quality in a changed offense. Deebo Samuel carries durability and contract questions that could push him toward mid range value rather than a high ceiling. Brandon Aiyuk faces competition for targets after a major knee surgery and a returning, healthy offense that includes stalwarts like Christian McCaffrey, George Kittle and Jauan Jennings. The piece emphasizes that past production does not guarantee future payoff and urges managers to prioritize clear roles and reliable volume.

Key Takeaways

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ADP alone is not a reliable guide to value
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Backfield committees increase risk for every single runner
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New coaches and quarterbacks bring uncertainty to projections
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Wide receivers in crowded offenses face slimmer path to targets
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Injuries and aging players lower upside and raise risk
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Red zone opportunities drive turnover in WR value
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Draft discipline beats chasing last season’s flash
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Clear roles and steady volume often outperform hype

"It could be a 1-2-3 punch with the guys we have."

Jets plan to use all three running backs

"Last year was the time to invest in Baker Mayfield."

Fitz on Mayfield’s value

"Moore’s career production profile doesn’t scream alpha WR1."

Erickson on Moore for 2025

The analysis argues that draft value often follows clear roles and stable targets, not headline numbers. In 2025, coaching changes and quarterback transitions matter as much as raw talent. Managers who chase last season’s highlights may overpay for players whose teams are shifting strategy or depth charts. The trend also shows that running backs in multiheaded committees and wide receivers in crowded offenses tend to lose fantasy upside even when their teams are strong in real life.

Highlights

  • Crowded backfields rarely pay off in fantasy
  • Last year’s numbers don’t guarantee this year’s upside
  • Value hides in the quiet players not the hype
  • Draft with discipline or you pay the price

Value in drafts comes from clarity, not hype.

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