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Nvidia gains momentum on Blackwell AI

Cantor Fitzgerald backs Nvidia on Blackwell accelerators with a revived China licensing outlook and higher earnings targets.

August 18, 2025 at 09:05 PM
blur ‘Buy Nvidia Stock Now,’ Says Five-Star Analyst

Cantor Fitzgerald backs Nvidia stock on the launch of Blackwell AI accelerators and a revived path to China data center sales.

Nvidia Gains Momentum With Blackwell Chips as China Licensing Opens

Cantor Fitzgerald places a bullish note on Nvidia after the company rolled out the Blackwell AI accelerators. Analyst C.J. Muse raised the price target to 240 and expects stronger results in both upcoming quarters, citing higher demand for AI computing. He projects Q2 revenue of 48 billion dollars and EPS of 1.06, ahead of consensus estimates, and Q3 revenue of 55 billion with EPS of 1.25. China licensing for AI chips has been revived, opening a potential revenue stream, though export taxes and security concerns could cap scale.

On Wall Street, the consensus remains supportive with a Strong Buy rating based on a mix of Buy notes and a small number of Holds and a Sell. The average price target is about 192.62 dollars, implying roughly 5.7 percent upside. Nvidia is scheduled to report quarterly results on August 27, and Muse suggests the upcoming quarter may mark the start of a stronger earnings phase after earlier surprises.

Key Takeaways

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Bullish case tied to Blackwell AI accelerators and stronger near term results
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China licensing opens potential revenue but carries policy risk
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Export taxes and security concerns could limit upside in China sales
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Markets expect a Strong Buy consensus with upside around 5.7 percent
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August 27 earnings will test momentum beyond product launches
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Analysts see a possible shift to a higher growth phase if estimates hold
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Near term sentiment hinges on policy signals as much as on hardware demand

"Blackwell could redefine Nvidia growth trajectory if demand stays resilient"

Editorial note on potential impact of product cycle

"China licensing reopening adds upside but policy risk remains"

Comment on regulatory backdrop

"If August results validate AI demand, Nvidia could extend its rally"

Investor perspective

"The stock stays sensitive to policy shifts and global demand signals"

Editorial insight

The stock market is parsing two forces at once: an AI upgrade cycle that could lift Nvidia for years, and a patchwork of policy and regulatory risks that could throttle growth. The China licensing development adds a potential tailwind, but export controls and security concerns keep the upside in check. If the August results prove the demand is durable, the rally could extend; if not, valuation and cyclicity could reassert themselves. The outcome may depend less on one product line and more on how the broader AI ecosystem develops and how policy evolves.

Highlights

  • Blackwell could redefine Nvidia growth if demand proves durable
  • China licensing adds upside yet policy risk remains a constraint
  • Earnings in late August will test the AI demand hypothesis
  • The AI hardware cycle stays in focus for investors

Financial and policy risks for Nvidia rally

The bullish case depends on sustained AI chip demand and favorable policy. Renewed China licensing opens revenue but export taxes and security concerns could cap growth and increase volatility.

Markets will watch how policy signals align with the AI demand curve.

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