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Target Q2 earnings awaited

Investors look for signs Target can revive traffic and stabilize margins ahead of the quarterly report.

August 20, 2025 at 04:01 AM
blur Target (TGT) Q2 2025 earnings

Investors await Target's fiscal second quarter as store traffic and margins come under pressure.

Target Faces Q2 Earnings Slump as Traffic Decline Deepens

Target is set to report fiscal second quarter results before the market opens on Wednesday. Wall Street expects earnings per share of 2.03 on revenue of 24.93 billion dollars. The Minneapolis based retailer has seen annual sales drift sideways for about four years, and its shares have fallen roughly 60 percent from their 2021 peak.

This year has added to the challenge, with store visits sliding almost every week according to Placer.ai. The stock has declined 22 percent in 2025. In talks with CNBC, customers and former employees say Target has lost some of its distinctive traits, including eye catching displays, well kept stores and attentive service. Higher tariffs have also raised costs, since roughly half of what Target sells is imported. Last week Ulta Beauty and Target announced they will end their partnership that opened Ulta mini shops in about a third of Target stores. The deal, which also integrated Ulta brands into Target’s online store, will end in August 2026.

Key Takeaways

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EPS expected at 2.03 and revenue around 24.93 billion dollars
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Four year stretch of flat annual sales continues
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Store traffic has declined almost every week this year
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Tariffs are adding cost pressure from imports
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Ulta mini shops partnership will end in 2026
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Target stock down 22 percent in 2025
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A clear, credible plan is needed to rebuild traffic and margins

"Target must show a real plan to bring shoppers back"

editorial viewpoint on strategy

"Tariffs tighten margins while prices become less predictable"

assessment of cost pressures

"Ulta shops were a traffic driver now gone"

impact of partnership ending

"Investors will decide if Target can reset its growth path"

market reaction and outlook

The quarterly release will test how much Target can lean on price promotions and improved merchandising to win back shoppers. The results could signal whether the retailer can stabilize traffic without compromising value for its customers. A clear and credible plan to rebuild visits and sustain margins would be essential for investor confidence.

Beyond traffic, the Ulta partnership breakup removes a potential traffic driver and highlights the fragility of relying on external partners for footfall. Tariff costs remain a headwind for margins and pricing power, complicating inventory and assortment decisions. The company will need to show a realistic path to growth that balances lower costs, better in store experiences, and selective exploration of new formats or partnerships.

Highlights

  • Target must show a real plan to bring shoppers back
  • Tariffs tighten margins while wallets tighten
  • Ulta shops were a traffic driver now gone
  • Investors will decide if Target can reset its growth path

Tariffs and traffic slump risk investor backlash

The article notes ongoing declines in store traffic and tariff related cost pressure, along with the end of the Ulta partnership. These factors could trigger negative investor reaction and affect budget planning and strategic decisions.

The road ahead for Target will test how well it can balance value with a refreshed shopping experience.

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