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Bitcoin nears All-Time High Ahead of Inflation Data

Bitcoin climbs toward a fresh high as traders bet on rate cuts and macro tailwinds ahead of Tuesday's CPI report.

August 11, 2025 at 03:31 AM
blur Bitcoin Price Closes in on All-Time High as Traders Await Key Inflation Data

Bitcoin gains momentum as traders await a key inflation report and weigh possible Fed policy moves.

Bitcoin Nears All-Time High Ahead of Inflation Data

Bitcoin has rebounded 4.5% since Saturday, moving toward its July 14 high of 122,838 dollars. Derivatives data show open interest rising and spot and perpetual buying volumes climbing, signaling that speculative longs are driving the move.

Investors are awaiting Tuesday's CPI report. Economists expect inflation to edge up to 2.8% year over year. A softer print could lift bets on an early Fed rate cut, while some traders are buying put options to hedge against a surprise inflation shock.

Key Takeaways

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Bitcoin nears an all-time high ahead of inflation data
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Open interest and leverage in derivatives rise
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Markets show a strong link between Bitcoin and tech stocks
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Tuesday's CPI print could shift expectations for Fed policy
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Soft inflation data could lift rate-cut bets, tougher data could spark a sell-off
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Put options indicate defensive positioning amid potential surprises
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Crypto is acting like a growth asset in a high-liquidity regime

"There’s still plenty of fuel left for this bull run"

Sean Dawson on the rally

"Bitcoin may be digital gold but it trades like a risk-on asset"

Ecoinometrics on market behavior

"Crypto typically performs very well in low-rate environment conditions"

Dawson on policy conditions

"Markets are in a risk-on regime right now"

Market sentiment note

The rally shows crypto markets riding macro momentum and tech optimism. Bitcoin behaves more like a risk-on asset than a safe store of value, moving with stocks when liquidity is abundant.

The risk is volatility. A hot inflation print could trigger quick reversals as traders adjust policy expectations. With heavy leverage in some bets, a sudden shift could hit both retail and professional investors.

Highlights

  • Bitcoin moves on hopes not just numbers
  • If inflation stays tame risk assets sprint
  • Liquidity can push prices higher until it can't
  • Put bets rise as data could surprise

Market volatility ahead of inflation data risks investors

Rising open interest and speculative bets in bitcoin ahead of a key CPI release could trigger sharp price moves. The combination of macro data and policy expectations makes crypto markets sensitive to surprises, potentially impacting a wide range of investors.

Prices reflect policy expectations as much as price action.

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