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Abingdon Reservoir cost forecast rises to £6.5bn

The Abingdon Reservoir forecast now spans £5.5–£7.5 billion, with bills likely to increase for water customers.

August 14, 2025 at 07:30 AM
blur Abingdon Reservoir cost set to triple to about £6.5bn

The Abingdon Reservoir cost forecast has risen to a range of £5.5 to £7.5 billion, with customers likely paying via their bills.

Abingdon Reservoir cost forecast rises to £6.5bn

Thames Water says the Abingdon Reservoir cost has jumped from the initial £2.2 billion estimate to a revised range of £5.5 billion to £7.5 billion. Customers of Thames Water, Affinity Water and Southern Water will pay the bill through their charges, with around £5 a month added by 2040, subject to the final design and market conditions for financing costs.

The update appears in the Gate Three report ahead of a planning application due next year. RAPID, a joint regulator made up of Ofwat, the Environment Agency and the Drinking Water Inspectorate, will review the report. Thames says the project still offers the best value and will provide security of supply for about 15 million people.

Key Takeaways

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Initial £2.2bn estimate replaced by a £5.5–£7.5bn range
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Bills could rise by around £5 per month by 2040
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Project aims to secure supply for about 15 million people
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Final price depends on design choices and market financing costs
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Planning application expected next year
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RAPID will review the Gate Three report
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The update invites scrutiny from households and policymakers

"There's a lot of things that can change that."

Muncaster on cost uncertainty

"That is around the final design when we contract out the work and market conditions for financing costs."

Cost driver explanation

"It still represents the best value proposal and security of supply for the South East"

Value and reliability claim

"We're continuing with the scheme despite the rising costs"

Decision to proceed

Rising costs shift risk onto households at a time when utility bills are already under pressure. The jump from a £2.2 billion estimate to a multi‑billion forecast invites questions about how such projects are planned, budgeted and scrutinized.

Regulators say they weigh reliability against affordability. The autumn report on alternatives could reveal cheaper paths or new constraints, and public reaction will shape the politics around water infrastructure.

Highlights

  • There's a lot of things that can change that.
  • That is around the final design when we contract out the work and market conditions for financing costs.
  • It still represents the best value proposal and security of supply for the South East.
  • We're continuing with the scheme despite the rising costs.

Rising Abingdon Reservoir costs raise affordability concerns

A tripling of the cost estimate shifts more financial risk onto households through water bills. The plan faces regulatory scrutiny and potential political backlash if prices rise further or value is questioned.

The next steps will test whether price and reliability can align.

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