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Walmart tops Target in earnings preview

Stocks eyes turn to Walmart and Target as earnings approach this week with Walmart showing momentum and Target facing leadership questions.

August 19, 2025 at 07:24 PM
blur Stick to Walmart, not Target, ahead of earnings this week, investment chief says

Victoria Greene compares Walmart's clear strategy with Target's leadership questions ahead of this week's earnings.

Walmart Pulls Ahead of Target in Earnings Preview

Victoria Greene, investment chief at G Squared Private Wealth, says Walmart has a clearer plan for its customers while Target looks uncertain about its direction. Target is set to report on Wednesday after the close, with Walmart following on Thursday. Greene argues Target has lost its way and has struggled to present a single identity after a heated DEI debate that drew reactions from across the political spectrum.

Greene expects Target to show softer same store sales and traffic, potentially offset by higher prices. She thinks a leadership change could help, but not in time to boost this week's numbers. In contrast, she expects Walmart to deliver solid traffic and rising e-commerce growth as its pricing and store accessibility draw shoppers.

Key Takeaways

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Walmart appears trusted for its clear customer focus and pricing strategy
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Target faces questions about its leadership and strategic direction
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Earnings could hinge on same store sales and foot traffic trends
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Walmart likely benefits from online growth alongside store visits
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Back to school pricing power is a key driver for traffic
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DEI related controversy adds political risk to Target ahead of results
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Investors will watch guidance for Target more than near term stock moves

"I don't think Target knows who it wants to be anymore"

Greene on Target's strategic direction

"Walmart is the giant in the room"

Greene on Walmart's market position

"This is a company that knows what it wants to be and where it is going"

Greene praising Walmart's clarity

Walmart’s positioning as the retailer that knows what it wants to be matters in a market where shoppers notice the difference between a clear plan and a drifting one. If Walmart exceeds expectations, the result could sharpen the focus on pricing power and the role of online growth in a brick and mortar led format. Target’s hurdles, including leadership questions, may overshadow near term results and invite broader debate about corporate priorities.

The debate around Target’s strategy, including its DEI stance, signals how sensitive retail narratives have become for investors. The upcoming earnings will test whether a strong balance sheet and price discipline can compensate for strategic uncertainty and political headwinds. The broader lesson may be that clarity of purpose matters more than ever in a fast changing consumer landscape.

Highlights

  • Walmart is the giant in the room
  • Target must find a clear path before earnings
  • Stores that know what they want to be win the day
  • Pricing power and traffic win the season

DEI policy debate adds political risk for Target ahead of earnings

The discussion around Target's DEI stance introduces political sensitivity and potential backlash that could influence investor sentiment and governance scrutiny during earnings season.

The season will reveal how much leadership clarity matters in a crowded market.

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