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UK France migrant deal drives thousands across Channel

More than 2,500 crossings in 11 days as the one in one out plan begins, with detentions in Dover and removals to France expected in months.

August 17, 2025 at 07:18 AM
blur Thousands of small boat arrivals since new migrant deal with France

More than 2,500 people have crossed the English Channel in 11 days since the one in one out scheme began.

UK France migrant deal drives thousands across Channel

Over 2,500 people have crossed the English Channel in 11 days after the one in one out pilot started. The scheme is part of a deal announced by Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer and French President Emmanuel Macron during Macron's visit to the UK. The first group to be detained under the plan was held in Dover, and removals to France could take up to three months. The project is set to run for 11 months and aims to balance inbound asylum seekers who have not yet crossed with those who pass security and eligibility checks.

Officials say the aim is to disrupt smuggling networks and show that international cooperation is needed to tackle illegal immigration. Labour has promised to crack down on the gangs but cautioned that results will take time. The National Crime Agency reports some success in disrupting the smugglers, while authorities in Bulgaria recently seized 20 inflatable boats believed destined for the Channel, signaling cross border cooperation.

Key Takeaways

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2,500 plus crossings in the first 11 days under the scheme
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Deterrence effect will be clearer once deportations rise
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Removals may take months, affecting policy timing
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NCA reports progress against smugglers
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Bulgaria seizure underscores cross border cooperation
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Labour faces pressure to deliver tangible results
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Plan relies on sustained international cooperation and funding

"If you break the law to enter this country you will face being sent back"

Starmer on border policy

"This deal has no deterrent effect whatsoever"

Chris Philp criticism

"Deterrence will reveal itself when deportations begin in earnest"

Editorial line about policy timing

"International cooperation is essential to tackle illegal immigration"

Government stance on cooperation

The plan tests more than border control. It tests how quickly authorities can move people through the asylum system and how reliable removals are as a deterrent. If deportations lag, the scheme risks appearing symbolic rather than practical, inviting debate about costs and fairness. The policy also hinges on partners in Europe, which can complicate timelines and politics at home. In the months ahead, watchers will assess whether this approach lowers risky crossings or just reallocates them, and whether public support holds when numbers stay high.

Highlights

  • If you break the law to enter this country you will face being sent back
  • This deal has no deterrent effect whatsoever
  • Deterrence will reveal itself when deportations begin in earnest
  • International cooperation is essential to tackle illegal immigration

Immigration policy faces political backlash and budget strain

The one in one out scheme ties arrivals to removals, a policy that will require steady funding and could prompt political backlash if results lag. Critics warn it may strain asylum processes and public finances while relying on international cooperation that can shift with politics.

The coming weeks will reveal whether the plan translates into real change or simply shifts the flow of people seeking asylum.

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