Russia holds firm ahead of Putin Trump summit

Russia presses ahead with maximal demands in Ukraine as a Putin Trump summit looms, fueling concern over potential concessions.

Russia holds firm ahead of Putin Trump summit

Russian President Vladimir Putin has kept Moscow’s hard line on Ukraine, even as a planned summit with U.S. President Donald Trump in Alaska draws near. In Istanbul this year, Russia proposed a 30-day ceasefire tied to conditions that include Ukraine withdrawing from four annexed regions and halting mobilization while recognizing Crimea and other gains. Kyiv rejects neutral status, insists on NATO choices and strong Western security guarantees, and calls for the return of deported children and a full prisoner exchange.

European leaders have backed Kyiv, arguing peace cannot come without Ukraine’s terms. Trump has signaled openness to meet Putin without Zelenskiy, prompting concern in Ukraine and among allies about potential leverage for Moscow. Some observers say Putin could seek a temporary truce to win Trump’s sympathy while preserving control over his battlefield gains. Analysts caution the summit would be more about signaling than delivering a durable settlement.

This bargaining phase shows diplomacy playing out in high-stakes, personal diplomacy. A possible agreement could shift incentives across Kyiv, Moscow and NATO members, altering risk for Western soldiers and civilians on the front lines. The stakes extend beyond borders to domestic politics in three capitals and the durability of Western unity.

Yet risks are clear. A deal that satisfies Moscow could come with concessions that undercut Ukraine’s sovereignty and long-term security, while a stalled process may embolden further Russian pressure. Experts warn that even if talks surface, real deterrence must be maintained and international guarantees strengthened to prevent renewed aggression.

Highlights

Diplomacy faces its toughest test yet as leverage, timing and assurances define the path forward.