NFL 2025 projections released

Analysts weigh the payoffs of a comprehensive betting model that assigns win totals to every NFL team for 2025.

NFL 2025 win total projections meet expert scrutiny

The Athletic used Austin Mock’s betting model to assign a win total to every NFL team for 2025. The Bills are projected to lead with 11.2 wins, the Commanders at 8.8, and the Ravens at 11.0. The Saints sit at 5.2 as the lowest NFC projection. The piece presents a range of verdicts from too low to just right across teams, showing how a single model can spark debate about who is truly poised for a breakthrough or a dip.

Beat writers react with caveats about injuries, depth, and schedule strength. Some teams are praised for upside while others face concerns about roster gaps or tough openings. The exercise underlines that numbers guide discussion but do not determine a season, leaving room for surprises and slips alike.

Projections set a field of possibilities and tempt readers to draw conclusions early. They show where observers expect stability and where risk is highest, especially at quarterback and on defense. The NFL balance of parity means a small shift in health or coaching can tilt a season.

A healthy debate around these numbers is healthy for fans and front offices alike. The risk is letting a scorecard replace scouting. The real test comes week by week on the field, where every game carries more weight than any projection.

Highlights

Football lives on the field, not in the model.