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Mortgage rates ease again

The 30 year rate falls to 6.58%, offering cautious relief for buyers amid uneven housing demand.

August 14, 2025 at 10:49 PM
blur Average 30-year U.S. mortgage rate drops to lowest level since October

A daily dip in long term mortgage rates offers limited relief for buyers amid inflation and policy uncertainty.

Mortgage rates fall to 6.58 percent boosting buying power

The average rate on a 30 year fixed mortgage slipped to 6.58% this week, down from 6.63% last week, Freddie Mac said. The 15 year fixed rate also declined to 5.71% from 5.75%. A year ago, the 30 year rate averaged 6.49%. This marks the fourth straight weekly decline and the lowest level since Oct 24. Mortgage rates are influenced by several factors, including Federal Reserve decisions, bond market movements, and inflation expectations. The 10 year Treasury yield was around 4.29% at midday Thursday, up from 4.24% the day before. The reopening of policy discussions around a possible Fed rate cut has added to price movement in recent weeks, even as inflation signals remain mixed.

Key Takeaways

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The 30 year mortgage rate is 6.58% the lowest in about 10 months
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The 15 year rate sits at 5.71%
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Rates have fallen for four consecutive weeks
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Mortgage applications rose 10.9% last week
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Refinancing share remains high at nearly 47% of applications
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ARMs jumped 25% to the highest level since 2022
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Inflation signals remain a key driver for future rate moves

"Homebuyers who have been relegated to the sidelines by high financing costs got some encouragement in the past two weeks"

Economist note on rate relief

"A Fed rate cut could give the job market and overall economy a boost, but it could also fuel inflation"

Policy trade offs discussed in the analysis

"Higher inflation could push bond yields higher, driving mortgage rates upward in turn"

Inflation risk to rates

"Refinancing activity shows homeowners chasing equity as rates ease"

MBA data on refi activity

The small fall in rates gives buyers a narrow window of relief, but it does not solve fundamentals. Prices for existing homes remain high and supply is uneven, keeping affordability fragile. The broader market could hinge on whether inflation cools and the Fed sticks to a cautious path. If inflation accelerates, rates could rebound even with any near term rate cuts, tempering any initial boost to demand. The pull of higher prices and debt service costs will still restrain many households, especially first time buyers.

Highlights

  • Tiny relief in rates, big questions about prices
  • Affordability stays the real hurdle for most buyers
  • Refinancing fever shows homeowners chasing equity
  • When rates slip, demand returns but prices may not bend

Political and inflation risk surrounding housing outlook

The piece touches policy and inflation dynamics that can become politically sensitive. Tariff policy mentions and inflation risks may spark debate among voters and market participants.

Rate moves may shift again as inflation data and policy signals evolve

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