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Fed Official Calls for Three Rate Cuts After Weak Jobs Data

A top Fed official says weak jobs data strengthen the case for three rate cuts this year.

August 9, 2025 at 06:30 PM
blur A top Federal Reserve official says dour jobs data backs the case for 3 rate cuts

A top Federal Reserve official argues that this month’s weaker jobs data strengthens the case for lower rates.

Fed Official Calls for Three Rate Cuts After Weak Jobs Data

Michelle Bowman, a top Federal Reserve official, said this month’s weak U.S. jobs report supports her view that rates should be lower. Bowman and one other dissenter voted for rate cuts at a recent meeting, while most officials kept policy steady. Fed chair Jerome Powell has urged waiting for more data on how tariffs affect inflation. The jobs data showed far fewer hires than economists expected, with revisions also lowering earlier months’ hiring. Bowman argued that the Fed should cut rates three times this year, noting the remaining meetings are few.

Key Takeaways

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Weak jobs data strengthens case for rate cuts
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Fed officials remain divided on timing
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Tariffs complicate inflation outlook
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Markets price in a September move
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Bowman pushes for faster easing
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Policy trade off between jobs and inflation remains unsettled
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Upcoming data will drive next steps for policy

"the latest labor market data reinforce my view that the Fed should cut interest rates three times this year"

Bowman’s remark at a bankers conference in Colorado

"Trump’s tariffs will not present a persistent shock to inflation"

Bowman’s assessment of tariffs’ inflation impact

Bowman’s stance reveals a shift inside a policy framework that has mostly held rates steady this year. If weak data keep mounting, the idea of multiple cuts gains traction, but the risk is that inflation could accelerate if price pressures reemerge. The tariffs issue adds a political layer to the inflation outlook, testing the Fed’s independence and credibility. The episode underlines how central banks must balance helping the job market with keeping inflation in check, a task made harder by a volatile trade environment.

Highlights

  • Weak data calls for swift clarity from the Fed
  • Tariffs will not be a lasting inflation shock
  • Three rate cuts would be a bold move
  • Markets want a clear path from policymakers

Political and market risk from tariffs and rate moves

The push for rapid rate cuts amid tariff policy creates political sensitivity and market uncertainty. If policy appears swayed by politics rather than data, it could invite backlash from investors and policymakers and complicate inflation expectations.

Policy moves will depend on incoming data and global trade dynamics.

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