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Fast casual sales slow across major chains

Cava, Chipotle, and Sweetgreen report slower sales as consumer sentiment falters and promotions rise

August 13, 2025 at 06:51 PM
blur Cava, Chipotle, Sweetgreen report slower sales

The fast casual sector faces a consumer slowdown as several chains report softer sales and tepid traffic.

Cava Chipotle Sweetgreen See Slower Sales

Cava reported 2.1% same-store sales growth for the quarter, well below Wall Street expectations of about 6.1%, and its stock dropped roughly 16% in afternoon trading. Chipotle also faced softer momentum with a 4% decline in same-store sales, while Sweetgreen cut its full-year forecast for the second straight quarter. Wingstop stood out as an exception, with gains this year of about 20% in contrast to broader declines across peers.

Executives say consumer caution and a cloudy macro environment are weighing on demand. Cava noted tough comparisons to last year’s steak launch and a softer backdrop, while Chipotle pointed to a pullback from lower-income shoppers and a greater reliance on value messaging. UBS notes weak traffic across the sector as investors reassess fast casual bets. Still, some signs of life exist: Chipotle said its traffic began growing again toward the end of the quarter and Sweetgreen reported modest improvement into the third quarter.

Key Takeaways

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Consumer caution is weighing on fast casual traffic.
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Cava’s growth under 3% signals a stall after earlier momentum.
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Chipotle and Sweetgreen cite value focus as a response to demand weakness.
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Wingstop remains a relative outlier with positive performance in a tough year.
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Investors are re-pricing risk across restaurant stocks.
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Promotions and value tweaks are the current playbook, not a growth engine.
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Macro uncertainty and sentiment shifts may redefine 2025 growth expectations.

"Certainly, we're operating in a fluid macroeconomic environment and it's one that sort of creates a fog for consumers."

Tolivar describing macro conditions affecting dining demand.

"You have to look no further than what's going with our competitors with snack occasions or $5 meals."

Chipotle CEO Scott Boatwright on value trends.

"Through our regular consumer research, we hear concerns about elevated prices and future job prospects."

Wingstop CEO Michael Skipworth on consumer concerns.

"A more cautious consumer environment starting in April."

Sweetgreen CEO Jonathan Neman on consumer mood.

The data highlights a broader shift in consumer behavior, where value and confidence drive decisions more than novelty. Chains are juggling promotions with margins, and the push for value could squeeze profitability if price sensitivity remains high. The challenge is not just one quarter of results, but a potential change in how households allocate dining budgets as inflation and job prospects remain uncertain. This environment tests the resilience of brands that had led the category with strong growth during the pandemic years.

Highlights

  • Diners are cautious about their wallets
  • Promotions are a bridge, not a cure
  • The consumer is drifting toward value at the $5 price point
  • There is a fog for consumers that makes planning harder

Investor risk from slower fast casual sales

The article shows multiple chains slowing sales and falling stock prices as consumer sentiment weakens. This creates a risk of continued volatility in restaurant equities if spending remains restrained.

The next earnings cycle will reveal if this slowdown is temporary or a lasting shift in dining habits.

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