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Economists warn housing market crisis looms

Moody's chief economist warns high mortgage rates threaten to slow economic growth due to housing market decline.

July 20, 2025 at 08:55 PM
blur Housing market: Top economist escalates warning as homebuilders are 'giving up'

Experts are concerned that the housing market slump will impact the broader economy.

Economists warn of looming crisis in housing market

The housing market is facing a severe downturn, according to Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody's Analytics. Zandi signals a significant deterioration in home sales, construction, and property values due to persistently high mortgage rates near 7%. He notes that builders are delaying land purchases and many are exiting the market entirely because it has become too costly to operate. Recent data shows a 13.7% drop in new single-family home sales and a 4.6% decline in housing starts. Overall, the slowing housing market could soon be a major hindrance to economic growth.

Key Takeaways

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Mark Zandi warns of severe housing market deterioration
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Homebuilders are delaying land purchases due to high costs
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New single-family home sales dropped 13.7% last month
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Home prices are set to decline as demand softens
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Delistings of homes are increasing as sellers lower expectations
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High mortgage rates risk pushing the economy into a recession

"Housing will thus soon be a full-blown headwind to broader economic growth."

Zandi highlights the potential impact on economic growth due to housing market issues.

"A big tell is that many builders are delaying their land purchases from the land banks."

This statement reflects a concerning shift in builder confidence, essential for market health.

"Residential fixed investment is the most interest rate sensitive sector in the economy."

This quote from Citi Research underlines the vulnerability of housing to interest rate changes.

"Home prices are now going sideways and set to turn lower as mortgage rates crush demand."

Zandi emphasizes how high mortgage rates are directly affecting home prices.

The state of the housing market signifies deeper economic troubles ahead. With rising mortgage rates and slowing sales, the situation may evolve into a recession warning. Builders cutting prices and delaying land purchases raise a red flag about market confidence. This turmoil not only impacts buyers and sellers but could also reflect on job growth, as construction is a pivotal economic driver. As Zandi pointedly states, the housing market's woes signal a potential headwind for the U.S. economy.

Highlights

  • The housing market slump is signaling deeper economic troubles.
  • High mortgage rates might push us into a recession soon.
  • Homebuilders are waving a red flag as market conditions worsen.
  • This is a wake-up call for the entire economy.

Housing market crisis could undermine economic growth

The ongoing issues in the housing market may contribute to broader economic challenges as rising mortgage rates persist. This situation raises concerns for policymakers and investors alike.

The future of the housing market remains uncertain as economists keep a watchful eye on mortgage rates.

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