favicon

T4K3.news

Dividend Focus Turns to High Yield Bets in Turbulent Markets

Two high yield dividend picks show how investors seek income in a volatile market, with Ellington Financial and Dorian LPG highlighted by analysts.

August 17, 2025 at 10:12 AM
blur Seeking Up to 11% Dividend Yield? Analysts Pick 2 Dividend Stocks to Buy

A look at two high yield dividend picks as investors seek defensive income amid signs the rebound may slow.

Dividend Focus Turns to High Yield Bets in Turbulent Markets

The recent stock market rebound comes with a caveat. An analyst warns that the rally, driven by AI enthusiasm and tariff-driven capex earlier this year, may not be sustainable as the S&P 500 trades at high valuations. Even so, investors are not fleeing the market. Instead they are looking for defensive ideas that offer steady income through dividends, especially those with yields in the double digits.

The two dividend stocks highlighted are Ellington Financial and Dorian LPG. Ellington Financial is a REIT that funds a mix of real estate loans, mortgage backed securities, and related assets. It reports a forward yield near 11.5 percent based on recent declarations and shows a dividend that is well covered by distributable earnings. The stock has the backing of a seasoned management team and a diverse asset mix intended to reduce risk while pursuing attractive returns. Dorian LPG operates a fleet of very large gas carriers and has paid dividends since 2021, though its payout is irregular and can move with earnings in a high value but volatile market. The most recent quarter showed softer revenues and a miss on expectations, yet some analysts see a strong rebound in VLGC rates ahead and a higher dividend potential.

Analysts are split but generally constructive. Crispin Love from Piper Sandler supports a buy on Ellington with a price target aligned with a potential upside, boosted by opportunities in non Q M space and possible regulatory shifts. Omar Nokta from Jefferies remains positive on Dorian LPG, citing improving spot rates and the companys capital return focus, though he notes the stock faces valuation and cycle risks.

Key Takeaways

✔️
Market rebound may slow as valuations rise
✔️
Investors are seeking defensive income through high yield
✔️
Ellington Financial offers a sizable, well covered dividend
✔️
Dorian LPG presents yield backed by a modern VLGC fleet
✔️
Regulatory and policy shifts could affect returns
✔️
Dividend sustainability depends on distributable earnings coverage
✔️
Analyst views are mixed but generally supportive for the two names

"Valuation doesn’t matter until it does"

Bannister warns that high valuations could precede a downside move

"Ellington posted a beat this quarter with strength in both its credit and Longbridge strategies"

Love on Ellingtons quarterly performance and strategy

"Dorian is our top pick in the LPG space, and we remain constructive on the name"

Nokta on Dorian LPGs outlook

"Management was positive on the forward earnings trajectory"

Analyst commentary on growth outlook

The bigger message is not a single stock call but a defense mindset for a market in flux. High yield can shield portfolios when price volatility bites, but it shifts risk from price appreciation to credit, liquidity, and policy changes. Ellingtons mix of assets, disciplined risk controls, and steady monthly payouts make it a durable income vehicle, yet its performance will hinge on financing conditions and the health of the mortgage market. Dorian LPG offers a different flavor of yield linked to shipping cycles and energy demand. Its irregular payout makes it a less predictable income source, but the potential for catch-up in VLGC rates could lift both earnings and dividends. For investors, the lesson is clear: income can be a path to safety, but it is not a substitute for portfolio diversification or active risk management. In a time of policy risk and global supply chain shifts, the most reliable bets are those that balance cash flow quality with transparent coverage and a clear plan for staying solvent through cycles.

Highlights

  • Valuation doesn’t matter until it does
  • Ellington posted a beat this quarter with strength in its credit and Longbridge strategies
  • Dorian is our top pick in the LPG space
  • Management was positive on the forward earnings trajectory

Policy and market risk for high yield income bets

The article notes potential policy shifts such as GSE reform and tariff-driven market moves that could affect earnings and dividend safety. Valuation risk remains high as a macro backdrop influences returns.

Income is a shield, not a guarantee, in markets that keep changing shape.

Enjoyed this? Let your friends know!

Related News