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Asteroid 2024 YR4 may hit moon in 2032

New data shows rising chances of asteroid impact on the moon, with possible debris risks.

July 28, 2025 at 07:24 PM
blur Asteroid To Miss Earth, But It Might Hit The Moon

Asteroid 2024 YR4 poses an increased risk of hitting the moon by late 2032.

Asteroid 2024 YR4 Might Impact Moon in 2032

Asteroid 2024 YR4 has shifted from a possible threat to Earth to an alarming potential impact on the moon. Initially discovered in December 2024, this massive asteroid drew attention when its probability of hitting Earth briefly reached 3%. However, new data indicates that the risk of it colliding with the moon has risen to 4.3%. The asteroid, measuring about 200 feet across, could hit the moon at high speed, creating a significant crater and potentially sending moon debris towards Earth. Such a collision could pose risks to astronauts and satellites in orbit around our planet, with NASA watching closely as the asteroid’s path brings it near Earth in 2028.

Key Takeaways

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Asteroid 2024 YR4 has a 4.3% chance of hitting the moon in 2032.
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New data shifts focus from Earth threat to moon impact.
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The asteroid is about 200 feet wide, considered a 'city killer.'
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A collision may create significant debris that could risk satellites.
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Public can observe the impact through telescopes or binoculars.
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NASA plans to monitor the asteroid closely as it approaches Earth.

"If YR4 hits the moon, it will be the largest asteroid to have hit the moon in about 5,000 years."

Dr. Paul Wiegert emphasizes the rarity of such impacts, highlighting its significance for observers.

"People at home will be able to see the explosion with small telescopes or even binoculars."

Prof. Wiegert shares the accessible viewing opportunity for the public during the anticipated impact.

The potential for asteroid 2024 YR4 striking the moon raises important questions about celestial safety and space monitoring. Although the chance of a moon impact is relatively low, its implications could extend beyond the immediate vicinity of the lunar surface. The debris from such an impact could endanger satellites that provide crucial services on Earth, highlighting our vulnerability to even distant cosmic events. Moreover, this situation underscores the need for continuous monitoring of near-Earth objects. With advancing technology, we can better predict and understand these hazards, though public awareness remains limited.

Highlights

  • The asteroid could cause significant debris if it strikes the moon.
  • If YR4 hits the moon, it will be a rare astronomical event.
  • Observers on Earth may witness the collision with telescopes.
  • Moon debris might pose risks to our everyday satellites.

Potential risks from asteroid impact

Debris from a moon impact could threaten nearby satellites that are critical for communication and navigation.

As monitoring techniques improve, the ability to predict and mitigate risks from space debris becomes even more crucial.

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