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$4.50 XRP Target

XRP breaks out of a bull flag with futures volumes surging, pointing to a potential move above 4.50 by fall.

August 8, 2025 at 01:42 PM
blur $4.50 Target in Sight

XRP breaks out of a bull flag and futures volumes surge, setting up a potential move to 4.50 by fall.

$4.50 Target in Sight

XRP futures trading volume jumped more than 200% in the last 24 hours to 12.4 billion, rising past Solana in open interest which climbed about 15% to roughly 5 billion. The move follows news that Ripple and the US Securities and Exchange Commission agreed to dismiss their appeals against each other. Technically, XRP broke above the upper line of a bull flag as volumes supported the breakout. The pattern implies a target near 4.50, about 35% above current levels, with a possible move into September or October. A potential rate cut by the Federal Reserve later this year could further lift appetite for risk assets including XRP.

Key Takeaways

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Futures volume for XRP jumps over 200% in 24 hours
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Open interest climbs about 15% to around 5 billion
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Bull flag breakout points to a move above 4.50
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Funding rates show a long bias, raising liquidation risk if price turns
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Cost basis around 2.80 to 2.82 creates a potential support zone
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Fed rate expectations could influence XRP momentum
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Analysts offer widely varying price targets for XRP this year

"Momentum is a fragile friend in crowded markets"

Commentary on market dynamics after a breakout

"A breakout is a moment not a lifetime"

Caution about relying on short term chart patterns

"Macro moves can make or break a rally"

Linking XRP trends to broader policy and macro factors

The surge in futures activity signals renewed taste for crypto risk after the settlement news. It also suggests rising leverage, which can amplify losses if the rally loses steam. A large cluster of XRP tokens around the 2.80 to 2.82 area forms a visible support base, but a quick reversal could squeeze late buyers. Macro factors, especially any shift in Fed policy, may determine whether this momentum endures or fades.

Highlights

  • Momentum is a fragile friend in crowded markets
  • A breakout is a moment not a lifetime
  • Support comes from the crowd that bought the dip
  • Macro moves can make or break a rally

Financial risk from rising leverage and rapid reversals

A sharp rise in futures volume and a long-biased funding environment suggest traders could face losses if XRP falters. Concentrated cost bases and potential policy shifts add market sensitivity that could trigger quick reversals.

Markets can overreact to headlines; the real test is sustained demand beyond a single breakout.

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